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Xinhua Far East Upgrades the Issuer Credit Rating of China Aviation Oil (Singapore) to A- from BBB+, the Rating Outlook Remains Stable

Xinhua Far East China Ratings
2006-11-02 16:55 5617

HONG KONG, Nov. 2 /Xinhua-PRNewswire/ -- Xinhua Far East China Ratings

(‘Xinhua Far East”) today upgraded the issuer credit rating of China

Aviation Oil (Singapore) Corporation Ltd (“CAO” or “the Company”, SGX

China Avi Oil) from BBB+ to A-. Its rating outlook remains stable.

The upgrade was prompted by success of the Company’s restructuring plan,

effective from March 27, 2006, which resulted in improved operating

performances and a stronger balance sheet. In light of the Company’s

monopoly in its core business areas, ongoing support from shareholders and

improving risk management controls, CAO should continue to benefit from

booming growth in the aviation oil sector, which should help maintain its

credit profile.

Under the restructuring plan, China Aviation Oil Holding Company

(“CAOHC”), BP Investment Asia limited (“BP”) and Aranda Investments Pte

Ltd (“Aranda”), an indirect wholly-owned subsidiary of Temasek Holdings

(Private) Limited, took 50.88%, 20% and 4.65% stakes respectively in the

Company. Apart from the support already provided by CAOHC, Xinhua Far East

believes that the introduction of BP and Aranda as shareholders should

further strengthen CAO’s management capability, especially in respect to its

jet fuel procurement business and oil products business.

Based on an assessment of actual and contracted sales, CAO’s total

tender volume for 2006 is forecast to be 4.6 million metric tonnes (“MT”),

which would represent a 51% increase from the 3.04 million metric tonnes

recorded for the same period of 2005. A total of approximately 1.14 million

MT of jet fuel was purchased in 2Q 2006 and 2.06 million MT in 1H 2006, an

increase of 83% and 69% respectively, compared to the same period in 2005.

It should be noted that in June 2006 the Company returned to trading on a

principal basis, instead of on an agency basis. This not only indicates

normalization of the Company’s business model, but also allows it to enjoy

greater flexibility and, probably, a higher profit margin in its jet fuel

procurement business moving forward.

Xinhua Far East forecasts that the recurrent cash flow contribution from

Shanghai Pudong International Aviation Fuel Supply Company Ltd (“SPIA”),

33% of which is held by the Company, should be relatively stable in the

coming years. While ongoing reform to China’s jet fuel pricing mechanism

will likely place stresses on its profit margin, soaring aircraft movement

volumes at Shanghai Pudong Airport, the only international airport in

Shanghai, should more than offset any negative effect on overall earnings.

Indeed, SPIA contributed investment income of S$8.4 million in 2Q 2006

and S$17.9 million in 1H 2006 compared with S$8.3 million in 2Q 2005 and

S$17.5 million in 1H 2005. Given SPIA has no significant forecast capital

expenditure nor acquisition plans, Xinhua Far East believes that it will

continue to maintain a high dividend payout ratio, allowing CAO to enjoy a

stable cash dividends from SPIA.

In summary, the sound operations of the restructured CAO will continue to

be bolstered by the favorable market environment, which will allow CAO to

progressively reduce its debt burden and enhance its debt service

capabilities over the next couple of years.

Even so, Xinhua Far East notes that CAO has a heavy reliance on its

parent company, and faces certain uncertainties in prices and market reform

in the PRC’s aviation sector, factors which constrain CAO from obtaining a

higher rating at this time.

CAO mainly engages in the business of the procurement of jet fuel and

investment holdings. It has a 33% stake in Shanghai Pudong International

Aviation Oil Supply Company Ltd and currently has a monopoly on the import of

jet fuel into mainland China. In 2004, CAO incurred significant losses of

S$864.8 million, due to a net loss on options trading.

For the rating report summary, please visit

http://www.xinhuafinance.com/creditrating .

About Xinhua Far East China Ratings

Xinhua Far East China Ratings (Xinhua Far East) is a pioneering venture

in China that aims to rank credit risks among corporations in China. It is a

strategic alliance between Xinhua Finance (TSE Mothers: 9399), and Shanghai

Far East Credit Rating Co., Ltd. Shanghai Far East became a Xinhua Finance

partner company in 2003 and the first China member of The Association of

Credit Rating Agencies in Asia in December 2003.

Capitalizing on the synergy between Xinhua Finance and Shanghai Far East,

Xinhua Far East’s rating methodology and process blend unique local market

knowledge with international rating standards. Xinhua Far East is committed

to provide investors with independent, objective, timely and forward-looking

credit opinions on Chinese companies. It aims to help investors differentiate

the credit risks among the corporations in China, thereby, cultivating their

awareness and promoting information disclosures and transparency in China

market.

For more information, see http://www.xfn.com/creditrating .

About Xinhua Finance Limited

Xinhua Finance Limited is China’s unchallenged leader in financial

information and media, and is listed on the Mothers board of the Tokyo Stock

Exchange (symbol: 9399) (OTC ADRs: XHFNY). Bridging China’s financial

markets and the world, Xinhua Finance serves financial institutions,

corporations and re-distributors through four focused and complementary

service lines: Indices, Ratings, Financial News and Investor Relations.

Founded in November 1999, the Company is headquartered in Shanghai with 20

news bureaus and offices in 19 locations across Asia, Australia, North

America and Europe.

For more information, please visit http://www.xinhuafinance.com .

About Shanghai Far East Credit Rating Co., Ltd

Shanghai Far East Credit Rating Co., Ltd. is the first and leading

professional credit rating company with comprehensive business coverage in

China. It is an independent agency established by the Shanghai Academy of

Social Sciences with the mission to develop internationally accepted

standards for capital market in China. The company is a pioneer in conducting

bond-rating business in China. For years, it has been authorized by the

Shanghai branch of the PBOC to undertake loan certificate credit rating.

Since establishment, it has rated over 1,000 corporate long-term bonds

and commercial papers, based on the principles of objectivity, fairness and

independence. The company has also maintained over 50% market share in the

loan certificate-rating sector in Shanghai for three consecutive years. With

its strong local presence and knowledge, it provides investors with unique

and the most insightful credit opinion.

For more information, see http://www.fareast-cr.com .

Source: Xinhua Far East China Ratings
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